Which party will win the popular vote in Virginia in the 2028 presidential election?
13.1 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 89.1%+13.1ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+13.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
6 nov. 26, 00:57 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Virginia in the November 7, 2028 election, per Virginia's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Virginia awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Virginia holds no popular vote for President.
