Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 66.8%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+17.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 26, 00:20 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the party of the person elected President in the November 7, 2028 election, however the winner is officially decided.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- N/A if no presidential election is held for the term starting January 20, 2029.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will a Democrat win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · Yes 58%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 68%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 68%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 68%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?