KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republican party 47%
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
94,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
46.0% / 52.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
15 mai 26, 21:00 UTC2 nov. 33, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
KalshiWhich party will win the 2028 presidential election in Indiana?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 presidential election in Nevada?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 presidential election in Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Office of the Presidency
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? ?
- Kalshi cote Republican party à 47% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2033.
- Comment Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.