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Données au 25 oct. 2026, 17:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleJ. D. Vance 76.7%En tête parmi 41 options
Prévisionnistes
126
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète25 mars 24, 14:30 UTC8 août 28, 13:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWho will be in the first 2028 Republican Party presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRègles
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
