Prévision communautaire actuelle
Gavin Newsom 49.7%En tête parmi 52 options
Prévisionnistes
117
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète25 mars 24, 13:59 UTC8 août 28, 13:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
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KalshiRègles
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Democratic National Committee (DNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the DNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Gavin Newsom à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries? doit être résolu le 8 août 2028.
- Comment Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries.