Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:08 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Gavin Newsom 49.7%En tête parmi 52 options
Prévisionnistes
120
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète25 mars 24, 13:59 UTC8 août 28, 13:30 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWill at least half of the GOP and Democratic Party Presidential and VP nominees be women in 2028?
Manifold MarketsMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiRègles
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Democratic National Committee (DNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the DNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
