PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic 58%
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
33,8 €
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Democratic est de 67%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 9 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm Democratic 67% · 2 plateformes · 9 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsQuestions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? ?
- PredictIt cote Democratic à 58% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Comment Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
