Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète5 juin 25, 20:05 UTC1 janv. 30, 20:05 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the democratic candidate in the next US presidential election.
- Please note that this market will be resolved only after the election concludes — there will be no early resolution.
- While the next US presidential election is currently scheduled for 2028, this market applies to whichever election occurs next.
- If, for any reason, the next election takes place before or after 2028, this market will still apply to that election.
- This market is currently set to close in 2030, but the closing date may be extended.
- The goal is to keep the market open until the question is definitively resolved.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the democratic candidate in the next US presidential election.