Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic 60.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 oct. 22, 06:38 UTC2 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Iowa Senate winner?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic à 61% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2029.