Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise 100%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 26, 02:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Simon Willison taste a RIMU BERRY by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
From https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/8/llm-predictions-for-2026/
- If Simon publishes evaluations of his own predictions, I'll resolve accordingly.
- If no evaluations are forthcoming, I may resolve based on my own judgement.