Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron?
2.1 pts (24h)One-OffSpace3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle[none of these happen in 2026] 72.2%+2.1ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 juin 26, 01:25 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX catch Ship before New Glenn RTF?
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PolymarketRègles
[tweet]Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For New Glenn and Neutron, the resolution standard is clearing the pad — full success or reaching orbit is not required.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? ?
- Manifold Markets cote [none of these happen in 2026] à 72% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [tweet]Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For New Glenn and Neutron, the resolution standard is clearing the pad — full success or reaching orbit is not required.