Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 49.6%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète3 oct. 23, 08:29 UTC1 août 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any country declare war on any other, using CO2 or microplastics emission, as a causus belli by 2055
Manifold MarketsWill any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Not limited to formal declarations of war.
- Resolves yes if there's a congressional authorization of military force à la Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan.