Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Timor-Leste 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 25, 18:26 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was created in 1967 with five member countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Thailand) and has expanded several times since then, most recently when Cambodia became a member in 1999.
- Two countries, the named outcome and Timor-Leste, have observer status, and a number of others have expressed interest in joining.
- This market is about which countries will join the organisation as full members (not just observers) on or before 31 December 2029.
- The official date of accession will be used.
- If ASEAN is renamed, answers can still resolve to YES.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Timor-Leste à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was created in 1967 with five member countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Thailand) and has expanded several times since then, most recently when Cambodia became a member in 1999.