Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGoogle 52.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 août 26, 00:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsChatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has #1 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria: This market resolves to the company whose model is ranked #1 on the overall Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2027.
- If no snapshot exists at that exact time, I will use the first leaderboard update on or after January 1, 2027.
- If Chatbot Arena is discontinued before then, this market will resolve based on its officially designated successor, or be canceled if no successor exists.
- LLM Leaderboard - Best Text & Chat AI Models Compared
