Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before Jan 2027 55.4%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
15 déc. 25, 14:16 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
- “Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
- The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
- Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
- Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before Jan 2027 à 55% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria