Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNot in 2026 22.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-12.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 26, 20:17 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
@Bayesian resolved @/Bayesian/will-i-solve-an-unsolved-math-probl-5ZR0n0LOlE on Sept. 25, 2026 (earning himself Ṁ19,822) but has not yet revealed what problem(s) he solved.
- This market will resolve based on the day he names at least one problem he solved in a comment on that market.
- If we reach Jan 1, 2027 without an answer, it will resolve "the named outcome."
- Zvi's house rules apply: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ge3Jf5Hnon8wq4xqT/zvi-s-manifold-markets-house-rules
