Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
90-100 31.3%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète25 déc. 24, 05:13 UTC1 janv. 61, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040?
Manifold MarketsHow will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As per https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy?tab=chart&country=~USA
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will US life expectancy be in 2060? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 90-100 à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will US life expectancy be in 2060? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will US life expectancy be in 2060? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2061.
- Comment What will US life expectancy be in 2060? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As per https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy?tab=chart&country=~USA