Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2028 42.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète19 oct. 25, 06:39 UTC30 déc. 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves on the date of Montenegro's accession to the European Union.
- If Montenegro ceases to exist, resolves at the last successor state to join the EU.
- If Montenegro hasn't jointed the EU by the end of 2031, resolves at the named outcome.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Montenegro join the European Union? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2028 à 43% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Montenegro join the European Union? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Montenegro join the European Union? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2031.
- Comment When will Montenegro join the European Union? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves on the date of Montenegro's accession to the European Union.