Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHas a microphone 99%En tête parmi 23 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète22 mai 25, 15:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:49 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
KalshiWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWill a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.
Manifold MarketsWhat is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.
- What will be true of the first device they release? This refers to whatever the first hardware product OpenAI + io release.
- If they release multiple devices simultaneously, each answer resolves YES if the answer is true of any of the devices.
- Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Designed to be worn on head' answer:
- Earbuds will be considered as 'worn on head'.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market close date will be extended until the device is released or confirmed as cancelled.