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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold Markets

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

IA6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
<155 1.5%
En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes

36

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

16 janv. 26, 20:501 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

<1552%

Règles

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.

Marchés Associés

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

179,4 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

106,4 k €
↑$1.0T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

56,3 k €
<30%: 0.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

47,3 k €
Oui: 97.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

27,4 k €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

21,6 k €
Kill everyone - Liron: 4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,056.44+0.86%EthereumETH$1,679.28+0.69%SolanaSOL$67.85+1.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.48%BNBBNB$607.89+0.22%XRPXRP$1.15+1.15%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.