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Hodge conjecture solved by June 2027 71.9%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
106
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 26, 00:10 UTC1 janv. 29, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
A problem is considered solved if it is deemed solved by a majority consensus of the most expert mathematicians, according to my best impressions, to avoid resolving on technicalities.
- For example, for the Odd Perfect Numbers question, by my current understanding of the statement, proving that an odd perfect number exists (including via a non-constructive proof) will count as a disproof of the conjecture and thus solved.
- "by June 2027" means "by EoM June 2027".
- Same for years.
- Poincaré and NS count toward ≥4 and ≥6.
- For the option the named outcome, saturated means 100% excluding the problems deemed impossible.