Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGéopolitique4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète26 juin 23, 16:36 UTC31 déc. 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market predicts whether the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 was a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership for an undisclosed objective.
- For this market to resolve as ‘Yes’, credible historical records or confirmed official documents (as of December 31, 2030) should conclusively establish that the rebellion was a premeditated maneuver, intentionally staged by Russian leadership with the intent to accomplish some objective.
- This objective does not necessarily need to be achieved for the market to resolve as ‘Yes’, nor does it need to be specified.
- If such definitive evidence is not available by the resolution date, or if evidence refutes this hypothesis, the market will resolve as ‘No’.