Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDelcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète5 janv. 26, 19:34 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Please add more answers!
- In this market, "by 31 March 2026" is inclusive — if it happens on 31 March, it resolves YES.
- Markets with specific deadlines will be resolved according to their deadlines in US Eastern Time.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US–Venezuela conflict prop bets ?
- Manifold Markets cote Delcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US–Venezuela conflict prop bets sera-t-il résolu ?
- US–Venezuela conflict prop bets doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment US–Venezuela conflict prop bets est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Please add more answers!