US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-Orient2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 15:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 78%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète13 juil. 26, 20:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
LimitlessUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026?
FutuurWill GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Polymarket and Kalshi have a tendency to resolve differently and controversially.
- Recently Polymarket resolved Yes to a permanent peace deal with the Iran and US, while Kalshi did not.
- Resolves yes, if the following markets resolve Yes more or less to the same news:
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27?op_market_ticker=KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG&op_order_side=no&op_side=BUY&op_order_type=limit
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412