US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 98.7% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) sera-t-il résolu ?

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.

Comment US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if by the end of 2026, NBER determines that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 (in other words, if they announce a business cycle peak occurred during 2024).

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KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

309,1 k €

Volume 24h

7 k €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt89.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes20.5%

Volume total

658 k €

Volume 24h

4,3 k €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-0.5pt92%
• Yes+0.5pt8%

Volume total

2,1 M €

Volume 24h

3,5 k €

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt90.5%
• Above 0.0%+2.0pt82.5%
• Above 0.1%+4.0pt

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