Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 19:54 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become the 51st US state before Jan 20th, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the US uses force or the threat of force to take control of the island by the end of Trump's second term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Edge cases will be decided by me in accordance with the outcome most closely matching the spirit of the question.