U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
FedOne-OffObligations et bons du TrésorMacro et économie1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.2%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 25, 23:27 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 5% before 2028?
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PolymarketWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
