UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a £2 bus fare cap be funded beyond the end of 2027?
One-OffEuropeMacro et économie16jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
22 sept. 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will business rates relief be widened beyond pubs and music venues?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will any gambling duty rate rise beyond the April 2027 changes?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will the 'mansion tax' threshold be set below £2 million?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will any main capital gains tax rate rise?
Manifold MarketsFutu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026
KalshiChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The £2 cap in England outside London runs from 1 January 2027 to the end of 2027.
- YES if the Budget provides for a national single-fare cap in England outside London at £2 or lower for any period after 31 December 2027.
- A cap set above £2, or funding devolved without a national cap, resolves NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.