Prévision communautaire actuelle
Claude (Anthropic) 65.3%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-17.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 déc. 25, 11:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the next Muse model family be named?
Polymarketanother @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve based on the official LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard (Overall Category).
- Resolution Value: The market resolves to the Model Family that holds the #1 rank on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- If the leaderboard has a specific "last updated" timestamp, the update closest to (but not after) the deadline will be used.
- Definition of "Model Family":
- OpenAI: Includes all GPT-4, GPT-5, or subsequent models.
- Anthropic: Includes all Claude 3, 3.5, 4, or subsequent models.