Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitique américaineRégulation3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
9 avr. 25, 21:57 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible, tangible evidence emerges before January 1, 2030, showing that senior officials in the Trump administration traded securities based on non-public information about tariff policies.
- Evidence must come from reliable sources such as court documents, regulatory findings, credible investigative journalism, or official government investigations.
- The evidence must specifically demonstrate:
- The individual was a senior Trump administration official (or Trump)
- They traded securities (bought or sold)