Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther harms 69%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète10 mars 26, 12:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Market Manipulation Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsTrump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
Manifold MarketsJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The CEO of the Atlantic claimed in a recent article that "Insider Trading Is Going to Get People Killed".
- [tweet]Resolution Criteria
- The "Other" category covers any unspecified harms aside from legal, PR or related troubles suffered by the insider trader, prediction market or other predictors.
- Examples: a genuine PR challenge for an organization or person associated with the insider due to the information released, early leakage of contest results (such as at the Emmys, before the announcement on stage), and so on.
- Any event reported on in the major news media which offers reasonable justification that insider trading was causally implicated in deaths, injuries or the named outcome is sufficient.
- This market does not qualify!
