If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?
One-OffRégulation3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.8%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 25, 01:12 UTC2 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
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KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRègles
I have a trading dashboard for Manifold power users.
- I've been thinking about expanding it to include real-money markets, such as Manifold sweepcash, Polymarket, Kalshi, etc. This would allow prediction market users to see everything from a central location, making arbitrage and news trading easier, and giving them useful tools like built in Kelly bets, staggered purchases, etc. But I'm worried that I'd be opening myself up to legal issues.
- Manifold's userbase is pretty chill, so I'm not concerned about making it support sweepcash, but Polymarket and Kalshi are much less friendly places.
- There could be a bug in my dashboard that causes someone's account to place a bet they didn't intend.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.6pt92%
- Yes+1.6pt8%
- Volume total
- 18,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 260,8 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+11.0pt22.9%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt21.1%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+9.0pt21.1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt87%
- December 15,83%
- November 30,+2.0pt80%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt84%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 202895%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-1.0pt57%
- Before April 1, 2027+4.0pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 58-0.5pt10%
- Above 60+0.5pt10%
- Above 62-1.0pt9%
+5 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I have a trading dashboard for Manifold power users.