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Données au 23 juil. 2026, 04:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Prévision communautaire actuelleJune 30th 36.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 jours
Obsolète26 mars 26, 7:1731 déc. 26, 8:17
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
April 30th5%
Tendance du volume
$2522 juil.2j de données23 juil.
Marchés Associés
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
0 €Oui: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,8 M €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
595,6 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
47,1 k €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
8 k €Ceasefire: 27%KALSHI
KALSHIWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On May 31st, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.