Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète17 juin 26, 05:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+1.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.5pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–33937.1%
- 340–354+3.5pt25.8%
- 310–324-5.2pt21.6%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+0.5pt68.6%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.4%
- Increase+1.0pt2.9%
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Putin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Putin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Putin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.