Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 86.7%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète20 déc. 23, 10:51 UTC7 janv. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Yo Jong be the leader of North Korea by 2028?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-2c7e5cf84f34
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-37fe12f0ac09
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-1244cc6dbed1 (this question)
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.2pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 423,4 k €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December7%
- September 30,1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,9 M €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.1pt99%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-1.0pt37.1%
- 310–324-4.2pt23.7%
- 340–354+1.5pt23.7%
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,68%
- November 30,67%
- October 31,64%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,4 M €
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Russia target Kyiv on?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.