Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57.8%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète12 sept. 23, 14:17 UTC1 mai 39, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
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PolymarketRègles
https://jusmundi.com/en/document/other/en-honduras-prospera-inc-v-republic-of-honduras-press-release-of-honduras-prospera-inc-on-filing-of-request-for-arbitration-tuesday-20th-december-2022
- Resolves YES if either of these happens:
- Prospera wins the suit above and is awarded a non-trivial amount ($400mm or above)
- Honduras backs off and allows them to continue developing their city
- EDIT: Clarification after question in the comments - Prospera has to actually get the money.
- If they win the case, but Honduras refuses to pay, this is not a Prospera win and will be resolved as NO.