[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChine3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète10 juil. 24, 22:57 UTC2 janv. 30, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21870/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, between question launch and January 1, 2030, China makes an official statement threatening nuclear use if another nation gets its military involved in the China-Taiwan situation.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
