Prévision communautaire actuelle
Nobody 89.8%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète8 août 25, 21:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If LWCW 2026 does not take place this market resolves as N/A.
- The market will resolve to which person does in fact give the keynote, not only who is announced as doing so.
- This may matter if someone has to cancel last minute.
- Giving the keynote remotely or as a video recording counts.
- Zvi house rules apply.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Nobody à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS] sera-t-il résolu ?
- LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If LWCW 2026 does not take place this market resolves as N/A.