If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionCrime & Justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.5%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
2 sept. 23, 22:05 UTC6 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.
- But will they actually do so?
- Resolves to N/A if all of Trump's investigations are closed without convictions.
- Resolves yes if Trump has been pardoned by the president by the 2028 election day.
- Resolves no if Trump has not been pardoned by the time.
- If the pardon is challenged by the courts, this will resolve yes regardless.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2028.
- Comment If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.