Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
5.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionAmérique latineCriminalité et justice5mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 83.2%+5.0pt
Oui 83.2%+5.0ptQualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
271,5 €
Liquidité
10,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
81.0% / 86.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
6 oct. 26, 16:09 UTC1 avr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Manifold MarketsArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurWill Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsJair Bolsonaro dies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Messias Bolsonaro receives a pardon (indulto or graça), commutation, or reprieve granted by the President of Brazil between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency means an act signed by the President of Brazil, or by whoever is lawfully exercising the office, that pardons, commutes, reduces, or suspends the execution of a sentence that had already been imposed on Jair Bolsonaro in a Brazilian criminal proceeding at the time the act was signed, and that has been published in the Diário Oficial da União between market creation and the deadline.
- Both signature and publication must occur within this period.
- A reprieve means a temporary suspension of the execution of an imposed sentence through presidential clemency.
- Full or partial relief from a custodial sentence or criminal fine will qualify; actual release from custody is not required.
