Will at least one of the pardoned January 6 rioters be involved in a domestic terrorism plot or incident before 2029?
Politique américaineOne-OffCriminalité et justice2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 66.1%
Oui 66.1%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 25, 18:29 UTC30 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Background On January 6, 2021, thousands of individuals participated in a riot at the U.S. Capitol.
- Some participants were later pardoned.
- Several of these individuals had leadership roles in extremist groups like the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys, and some had demonstrated premeditated violent intentions.
- For example, Guy Wesley Reffitt had planned violent actions against elected officials and threatened his own family members to prevent them from reporting him.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if at least one person who received a pardon for their involvement in the January 6 Capitol riot is:
- Arrested and charged with domestic terrorism-related offenses, OR
