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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

36.0% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin AmericaCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 15%-0.4%
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

2,6 k €

Liquidité

10,7 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

14.0% / 16.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

10 juin 26, 0:1131 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes15%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.