If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsMoyen-OrientSport2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities" 45.1%En tête parmi 7 options
If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities" 45.1%Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 24, 22:35 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This is an attempt to anchor predictions about the alleged military use of Al-Shifa Hospital to a reliable resolution source.
- This question is specifically about the claims made by US Intelligence that the hospital was used to "Exercise certain command and control activities" as reported in this AP article :
- “The U.S. Intelligence Community is confident in its judgment on this topic and has independently corroborated information on HAMAS and PIJ’s use of the hospital complex for a variety of purposes related to its campaign against Israel,” the assessment states.
- It continues that it believes the groups “used the al-Shifa hospital complex and sites beneath it to house command infrastructure, exercise certain command and control activities, store some weapons, and hold at least a few hostages.”
- Rootclaim is an organization known for doing probabilistic analysis of unclear events, including events related to war.
- They challenge anyone who disagrees with their claims to prove them wrong in a debate with neutral judges and win large sums of money.
