If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
PolitiqueOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète3 avr. 26, 00:27 UTC3 janv. 27, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats win the House but lose the Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketIf Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to YES if the following three statements are true:
- Republicans have lost or will lose the Senate 2.
- Alito has not left his post. 3.
- Alito leaves his post by resignation, retirement, or death before the senators are seated.
- The market will resolve to NO if the following three statements are true:
- Alito does not leave his post by resignation, retirement, or death before the senators are seated.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 506,4 k €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 843,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 408 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to YES if the following three statements are true: