If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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Non 53.5%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 16 heures

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7 sept. 26, 02:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC

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Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

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Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

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Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

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Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

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Règles

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
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If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

One-OffEurope Politique Élection1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 53.5%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 16 heures

Obsolète

7 sept. 26, 02:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

Manifold Markets

Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

Kalshi

Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

Manifold Markets

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Polymarket

AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?

Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

Kalshi

Règles

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
[link preview]

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? sera-t-il résolu ?: If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
Comment If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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