If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
InflationMatières premièresPolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations" 100%En tête parmi 56 options
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations" 100%Prévisionnistes
96
Type de question
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
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Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète24 janv. 24, 11:20 UTC1 janv. 29, 05:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Which of Donald Trump's campaign promises will he actually achieve?
- All options are taken from https://www.donaldjtrump.com/issues or https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-cementing-fair-and-reciprocal-trade-with-the-trump-reciprocal-trade-act
- Resolves YES for any items that have been achieved by the end of his presidency.
- They have to actually have been achieved (for example, a bill has passed to ban trans women from participating in women's sports, a constitutional amendment has been passed), though it doesn't have to be the most complete version, just enough that it's reasonable to say that it has been achieved (for example, trans women could be banned at the high school level but not college level).
- He doesn't have to have directly caused it to happen, it just has to have happened.
- They do have to have occurred nationwide however (so individual states banning trans women would not count without a nationwide ban).
