Si Trump est élu, les États-Unis seront-ils encore une démocratie libérale à la fin de son mandat ? (V-DEM)
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
210
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète23 févr. 24, 21:36 UTC21 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PredictItRègles
This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
