Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 77.6%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète27 juil. 24, 06:31 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRègles
Resolves N/A if Trump doesn’t win the 2024 election.
- Otherwise, resolves Yes if Trump is President through his entire second term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves N/A if Trump doesn’t win the 2024 election.