Prévision communautaire actuelle
Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard24 févr. 26, 19:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Marchés ouverts
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Volume total
- 244,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 243,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.6pt98%
- Google-0.9pt1%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 57,2 k €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+8.0pt92%
- Above 8-6.0pt34%
- Above 9+2.0pt10%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Raye+55.0pt99%
- Any member of GENER8ION+73.0pt99%
- Madonna+11.0pt99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.4pt54.4%
- SpaceX44.7%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHISpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Before Oct 16, 202698%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-4.0pt88%
- Before Sep 29, 202687%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186 k €
- Volume 24h
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) à 43% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.