If AI has an okay outcome, was it because of humanity doing something beyond business-as-usual?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63.9%
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Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
7 avr. 26, 18:10 UTC7 avr. 31, 18:08 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If AI has an okay outcome and there was no special effort, was it because alignment was easy?
Manifold MarketsIf AI has an okay outcome because of a pause, will the exit strategy involve a new AI paradigm?
Manifold MarketsIf AI has an okay outcome because of a new paradigm, where did AI progress stall out?
Manifold MarketsIf AI has an okay outcome because of a huge alignment effort, where did AI progress stall out?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
Resolves N/A if AI does not have an ok outcome.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if
- this OK outcome is because of an AI pause
- OR the transhumanist future is achieve through non-AI technology
- OR humans are enhanced as part of the process by which alignment is solved
- OR there is a nonroutine effort for alignment, with AI being made by an organisation that makes alignment a top priority, treating it the primary function of the organisation and as a blocker on capabilities rather than something that can be done alongside capabilities.
