Prévision communautaire actuelle
8 or fewer 44%+8.9ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+29.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
14 août 26, 8:3130 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above+11.0pt99%
- $75,500 or above+16.0pt99%
- $73,500 or above+3.0pt99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 944,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- $80,600 or above99%
- $80,500 or above99%
- $80,700 or above98%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 889,3 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 220-239+51.0pt59%
- 200-219-1.5pt28%
- 240-259+8.9pt11%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+77.0pt95.2%
- 76° to 77°-57.0pt1%
- 80° or above-3.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-11.0pt80.8%
- OpenAI+9.9pt17.2%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 3, 2026?
- Minneapolis+35.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+19.0pt99%
- New York City+4.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 3, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC ?
- Manifold Markets cote 8 or fewer à 44% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=