Ce marché s'est résolu: 8 or fewer (99%)
Résolu: 30 sept. 2026, 15:49
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 sept. 2026, 23:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
8 or fewer99%
90.2%
100.1%
110.1%
120.1%
130.1%
140.4%
15 or more0.4%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PolymarketWill SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.